Likely First-Rounders in This Year’s NFL Draft

BY MARTIN KICH

Business Insider has aggregated the NFL draft projections of five “experts”: Todd McShay, Mel Kiper, Jr., Rob Rang, Matt Miller, and Steve Palazzolo. What is of interest to me is less who the particular players are than which programs they are playing for. Before listing the individual players, I have aggregated the results by conference. That the SEC accounts for half of the top prospects, that the SEC and Big 10 account for two-thirds of those prospects, and that no program outside of the five major conferences (except for Notre Dame) has produced any of the top prospects, all illustrate the degree to which college football has become increasingly divided between a relatively small number of programs that produce tremendous revenue and all of the rest who seem to be chasing the mirage of such revenue and its associated value in institutional “branding.”

ACC: 4

Clemson 2

Louisville 1

Florida State 1

Big 10: 6

Illinois 1

Michigan 3

Michigan State 1

Ohio State 1

Big 12: 1

Oklahoma 1

PAC 12: 2

Stanford 1

USC 1

SEC: 16

Alabama 5

Auburn 1

Florida 4

LSU 3

Missouri 1

Tennessee 1

Texas A&M 1

Notre Dame 3

1. Leonard Fournette (RB, LSU)

Average Rank: 1.6

Top 32s*: 5 of 5

Highest Rank: 1

2. Myles Garrett (DE, Texas  A&M)

Average Rank: 2.6

Top 32s: 5 of 5

Highest Rank: 2

3. Jonathan Allen (DE, Alabama)

Average Rank: 3.6

Top 32s: 5 of 5

Highest Rank: 1

5. Jabrill Peppers (OLB/S,  Michigan)

Average Rank: 6.6

Highest Rank: 3

Top 32s: 5 of 5

5. Malik McDowell (DT, Michigan St.)

Average Rank: 8.8

Highest Rank: 5

Top 32s: 5 of 5

6. Jamal Adams (S, LSU)

Average Rank: 9.6

Top 32s: 5 of 5

Highest Rank: 4

7. Devonte Fields (LB, Louisville)

Average Rank: 9.6

Top 32s: 5 of 5

Highest Rank: 8

8. Reuben Foster (LB, Alabama)

Average Rank: 11.2

Top 32s: 5 of 5

Highest Rank: 3

9. Dalvin Cook (RB, FSU)

Average Rank: 11.4

Top 32s: 5 of 5

Highest Rank: 7

10. Dawuane Smoot (DE, Illinois)

Average Rank: 12

Top 32s: 5 of 5

Highest Rank: 6

11. Tim Williams (LB, Alabama)

Average Rank: 14

Top 32s: 5 of 5

Highest Rank: 8

12. Derek Barnett (DE, Tennessee)

Average Rank: 20

Top 32s: 4 of 5

Highest Rank: 9

13. Charles Harris (DE, Missouri)

Average Rank: 20

Top 32s: 3 of 5

Highest Rank: 6

14. Mike Williams (WR, Clemson)

Average Rank: 21.8

Top 32s: 5 of 5

Highest Rank: 13

15. Jarrad Davis (OLB, Florida)

Average Rank: 21.2

Top 32s: 5 of 5

Highest Rank: 12

16. Caleb Brantley (DT,  Florida)

Average Rank: 21.2

Top 32s: 3 of 5

Highest Rank: 8

17. Cam Robinson (OT, Alabama)

Average Rank: 23.4

Top 32s: 4 of 5

Highest Rank: 18

18. Teez Tabor (CB, Florida)

Average Rank: 23.8

Top 32s: 4 of 5

Highest Rank: 17

19. Charles Walker (DT, Oklahoma)

Average Rank: 24

Top 32s: 3 of 5

Highest Rank: 11

20. Christian McCaffrey (RB, Stanford)

Highest Rank: 5

Average Rank: 25

Top 32s: 3 of 5

21. JuJu Smith­Schuster (WR, USC)

Average Rank: 25.6

Top 32s: 3 of 5

Highest Rank: 13

22. Mike McGlinchey (OT, Notre Dame)

Average Rank: 25.8

Top 32s: 2 of 5

Highest Rank: 10

23. Carl Lawson (DE, Auburn)

Average Rank: 26

Top 32s: 2 of 5

Highest Rank: 4

24. OJ Howard (TE, Alabama)

Average Rank: 26.2

Top 32s: 2 of 5

Highest Rank: 7

25. Quenton Nelson (G, Notre  Dame)

Average Rank: 26.4

Top 32s: 4 of 5

Highest Rank: 3

26. Marcus Maye (S, Florida)

Average Rank: 27.4

Top 32s: 2 of 5

Highest Rank: 5

27.  Cordrea Tankersley (CB, Clemson)

Average Rank: 27.6

Top 32s: 3 of 15

Highest Rank: 19

28. Jake Butt (TE, Michigan)

Average Rank: 28.2

Top 32s: 2 of 5

Highest Rank: 9

29. Raekwon McMillan (LB, Ohio St.)

Average Rank: 28.6

Top 32s: 2 of 5

Highest Rank: 6

30. Tre’Davious White (CB, LSU)

Average Rank: 29.2

Top 32s: 2 of 5

Highest Rank: 10

31. Chris Wormley (DE, Michigan)

Average Rank: 29.4

Top 32s: 1 of 5

Highest Rank: 7

32. Isaac Rochell (DE, Notre  Dame)

Average Rank: 29.6

Top 32s: 3 of 5

Highest Rank: 24

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